Economic Events and Earnings for October 7th

Published: Thu, 11/06/14

 Market Summaries: 

Stocks Climb Ahead of October Jobs Report
 
Equity indices registered modest gains on Thursday ahead of the Non farm Payrolls report for October (Briefing.com consensus 235,000), which will be released tomorrow. The S&P 500 added 0.4% with seven sectors ending in the green. 
 
The key indices spent the entire session in a slow and steady climb off their opening lows, but the same could not be said for the greenback. 
 
The Dollar Index (88.08, +0.64) spiked 0.7% after the European Central Bank released its latest policy statement. Although the central bank did not announce any changes, the euro tumbled below 1.2380 against the dollar after Mario Draghi said the bank will begin purchases of asset-backed securities soon and will not hesitate to introduce additional easing if needed. The reminder of willingness to consider additional measures boosted European equities and helped U.S. futures climb off their overnight lows. 
 
However, it should be noted that the ECB has already discussed its intentions to begin ABS purchases in the past. Furthermore Mr. Draghi's comments about additional easing contrasted with Tuesday's Reuters story, which claimed nearly half of the ECB board opposes the implementation of a sovereign quantitative easing program. 
 
The resulting dollar strength weighed on crude oil (77.90, -0.78), but the energy sector (+1.3%) ended in the lead despite showing early weakness. The sector climbed to highs during the final hour of the session, rising above the industrial space (+1.1%), which led for the bulk of the day. 
 
Industrials received strong support from General Electric (GE 26.36, +0.54) as the top-weighted sector component reclaimed its 200-day moving average, spiking 2.1% to levels last seen in mid-September. Transports also fared well with the Dow Jones Transportation Average jumping 1.3%. 
 
Elsewhere among cyclical sectors, consumer discretionary (+0.9%) and materials (+0.8%) displayed strength while financials (+0.1%) and technology (-0.1%) lagged. 
 
The materials sector was boosted by miners after Randgold Resources (GOLD 64.61, +5.45) reported earnings. The company missed bottom-line estimates, but investors cheered news indicating Randgold has closed its revolving credit facility. The stock spiked 9.2% while the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX 17.21, +0.62) jumped 3.7%. 
 
On the downside, technology (-0.1%) spent the day in negative territory after Qualcomm (QCOM 70.57, -6.63) reported disappointing results. Shares of QCOM plunged 8.6% while the PHLX Semiconductor Index lost 0.9%. 
 
The losses among chip makers weighed on the Nasdaq, but the index caught up to the broader market during the final hour. Biotechnology factored into the afternoon strength with the iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB 293.32, +4.42) climbing 1.5%. For its part, the health care sector (+0.6%) settled ahead of the remaining counter cyclical groups. 
 
Treasuries ended on their lows with the 10-yr yield up four basis points at 2.38%. 
 
Participation was ahead of average with more than 730 million shares changing hands at the NYSE floor. 
 
Economic data included Initial Claims, Productivity/Labor Cost data, and Challenger Job Cuts: 
Non farm labor productivity increased 2.0% in the third quarter, down from an upwardly revised 2.9% (from 2.3%) gain in the second quarter 
The Briefing.com consensus expected an increase of 1.5% 
Output growth decelerated in the third quarter, increasing 4.4% after a 5.5% increase in the second quarter, which was in-line with third quarter GDP growth 
The relatively weaker output level resulted in a modest acceleration in unit labors costs, up 0.3% after declining 0.5% in Q2 2014 
Initial Claims declined to 278,000 from a revised rate of 288,000 (from 287,000), while the Briefing.com consensus expected a reading of 285,000 
Claims have held below the 300,000 mark for the past several weeks, setting expectations for relatively strong job growth 
The Challenger Job Cuts report for October rose 11.9% to follow the prior decline of 24.4% 
Tomorrow, the October Non-farm Payrolls report (Briefing.com consensus 235,000) will be released at 8:30 ET while the Consumer Credit report for September (consensus $16.00 billion) will cross the wires at 15:00 ET. 
Nasdaq Composite +11.1% YTD 
S&P 500 +9.9% YTD 
Dow Jones Industrial Average +5.9% YTD 
Russell 2000 +0.7% YTD
 
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Volume Profile Levels
 

 
Economic Event 
 
Time Cur. Imp. Event Actual Forecast Previous
Friday, November 7
08:30   USD Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (Oct)   0.2% 0.0%  
08:30   USD Average Weekly Hours (Oct)   34.6 34.6  
08:30   USD Government Payrolls (Oct)     12.0K  
08:30   USD Manufacturing Payrolls (Oct)   10.0K 4.0K  
08:30   USD Nonfarm Payrolls (Oct)   231K 248K  
08:30   USD Participation Rate (Oct)     62.7%  
08:30   USD Private Nonfarm Payrolls (Oct)   222K 236K  
08:30   USD Unemployment Rate (Oct)   5.9% 5.9%  
10:15   USD Fed Chair Yellen Speaks          
10:30   USD ECRI Weekly Annualized (WoW)     -1.2%  
10:30   USD ECRI Weekly Index     131.7  
14:30   USD FOMC Member Tarullo Speaks          
15:00   USD Consumer Credit (Sep)   15.10B 13.52B

Earnings Reports for Friday,November 7
 
Watchlist-sector
Instrument Period Reports Popularity
Wall St
Estimize
Estimate Status
OCT '14Monthly
8:30 AMET
VALUE (K): 
MoM:
260.04 
4.85%
OCT '14Monthly
8:30 AMET
VALUE (%): 
MoM:
5.82 
-1.38%
OCT '14Monthly
8:30 AMET
VALUE: 
MoM:
850.35 
0.19%
FQ3 '14
BMO
EPS: 
REV:
2.01 
12,315
2.07 
12,332
FQ3 '14
BMO
EPS: 
REV:
0.36 
51.75
0.36 
51.57
FQ3 '14
BMO
EPS: 
REV:
 
-0.07 
11,335
FQ2 '15
AMC
EPS: 
REV:
0.15 
340.28
0.14 
334.87
FQ3 '14
BMO
EPS: 
REV:
0.72 
907.33
0.72 
916.12
FQ3 '14
BMO
EPS: 
REV:
0.89 
1,250
 
FQ3 '14
BMO
EPS: 
REV:
0.27 
175.93
0.32 
182.10
FQ3 '14
BMO
EPS: 
REV:
-0.15 
123.10
 
FQ3 '14
AMC
EPS: 
REV:
 
 
FQ3 '14
BMO
EPS: 
REV:
-0.20 
46.09
-0.17 
49.05
FQ3 '14
BMO
EPS: 
REV:
0.23 
322.72
 
FQ3 '14
BMO
EPS: 
REV:
0.34 
344.64
0.34 
346.65
FQ3 '14
BMO
EPS: 
REV:
 
 
FQ3 '14
AMC
EPS: 
REV:
0.63 
726.43
 
FQ3 '14
BMO
EPS: 
REV:
 
 
FQ3 '14
BMO
EPS: 
REV:
0.04 
96.86
 
FQ2 '15
BMO
EPS: 
REV:
0.73 
208.40
 
FQ3 '14
BMO
EPS: 
REV:
0.06 
222.10
 
FQ2 '15
AMC
EPS: 
REV:
 
 
FQ3 '14
BMO
EPS: 
REV:
0.51 
155.56